Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008735 0.010292 0.012167 0.014628 0.017831 0.021944 0.027773
2025-08-31 0.006825 0.008687 0.011196 0.014958 0.020708 0.029666 0.045876
2025-09-07 0.005598 0.007459 0.010145 0.014532 0.022029 0.035532 0.065578
2025-09-14 0.004745 0.006526 0.009226 0.013922 0.022666 0.040424 0.088130
2025-09-21 0.004240 0.005997 0.008780 0.013912 0.024295 0.048142 0.127477
2025-09-28 0.003956 0.005753 0.008726 0.014548 0.027429 0.061499 0.211069
2025-10-05 0.003818 0.005714 0.008998 0.015862 0.032671 0.085537 0.432577
2025-10-12 0.003598 0.005501 0.008915 0.016424 0.036403 0.109656 0.854884
2025-10-19 0.003318 0.005147 0.008507 0.016166 0.037809 0.127166 1.507619
2025-10-26 0.003119 0.004913 0.008294 0.016304 0.040514 0.155665 3.526203
2025-11-02 0.002903 0.004625 0.007931 0.015996 0.041672 0.178907 8.438300
2025-11-09 0.002652 0.004249 0.007343 0.015000 0.040035 0.182418 14.400789
2025-11-16 0.002426 0.003918 0.006846 0.014250 0.039422 0.196876 46.823843
2025-11-23 0.002310 0.003785 0.006756 0.014575 0.043281 0.262750 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002152 0.003557 0.006427 0.014165 0.043940 0.304005 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001999 0.003325 0.006063 0.013575 0.043530 0.334615 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001901 0.003193 0.005907 0.013565 0.045921 0.424653 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001851 0.003152 0.005952 0.014180 0.052078 0.658955 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001839 0.003187 0.006177 0.015447 0.063551 1.367097 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001787 0.003133 0.006182 0.015989 0.071478 2.507120 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001702 0.003002 0.005978 0.015740 0.073649 3.559025 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001640 0.002917 0.005884 0.015873 0.079186 6.573128 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001566 0.002798 0.005687 0.015576 0.080933 10.232569 NaN